Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001627 0.001729 0.001835 0.001952 0.002079 0.002212 0.002363
2025-02-23 0.001476 0.001620 0.001774 0.001953 0.002155 0.002376 0.002638
2025-03-02 0.001337 0.001502 0.001684 0.001901 0.002155 0.002443 0.002797
2025-03-09 0.001238 0.001416 0.001619 0.001866 0.002163 0.002510 0.002950
2025-03-16 0.001173 0.001365 0.001586 0.001863 0.002203 0.002611 0.003143
2025-03-23 0.001110 0.001309 0.001543 0.001842 0.002217 0.002677 0.003291
2025-03-30 0.001060 0.001266 0.001513 0.001833 0.002242 0.002755 0.003456
2025-04-06 0.001009 0.001218 0.001472 0.001807 0.002243 0.002800 0.003578
2025-04-13 0.000960 0.001171 0.001430 0.001776 0.002235 0.002830 0.003678
2025-04-20 0.000901 0.001108 0.001365 0.001713 0.002180 0.002794 0.003686
2025-04-27 0.000882 0.001095 0.001363 0.001731 0.002231 0.002903 0.003897
2025-05-04 0.000872 0.001094 0.001376 0.001768 0.002311 0.003052 0.004174
2025-05-11 0.000870 0.001105 0.001408 0.001837 0.002443 0.003291 0.004607
2025-05-18 0.000841 0.001078 0.001388 0.001835 0.002475 0.003389 0.004840
2025-05-25 0.000797 0.001030 0.001338 0.001786 0.002439 0.003384 0.004915
2025-06-01 0.000762 0.000992 0.001300 0.001754 0.002423 0.003409 0.005035
2025-06-08 0.000739 0.000971 0.001284 0.001750 0.002450 0.003497 0.005262
2025-06-15 0.000713 0.000943 0.001257 0.001731 0.002451 0.003545 0.005426
2025-06-22 0.000691 0.000921 0.001239 0.001723 0.002467 0.003618 0.005634
2025-06-29 0.000667 0.000894 0.001211 0.001699 0.002459 0.003650 0.005774
2025-07-06 0.000642 0.000866 0.001181 0.001670 0.002441 0.003665 0.005884
2025-07-13 0.000610 0.000827 0.001133 0.001612 0.002373 0.003594 0.005837
2025-07-20 0.000601 0.000820 0.001133 0.001628 0.002425 0.003724 0.006160